Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.113184 0.130774 0.149956 0.172393 0.197887 0.225918 0.259040
2024-12-22 0.084396 0.107218 0.134289 0.168638 0.210921 0.261118 0.325066
2024-12-29 0.070036 0.096714 0.130768 0.177112 0.238181 0.315499 0.420342
2025-01-05 0.057364 0.085481 0.123838 0.179421 0.257219 0.361432 0.510611
2025-01-12 0.046086 0.073726 0.113827 0.175378 0.266376 0.394607 0.587246
2025-01-19 0.038059 0.065006 0.106372 0.173271 0.277171 0.430354 0.670529
2025-01-26 0.034248 0.061989 0.106741 0.182497 0.305278 0.493467 0.799491
2025-02-02 0.030881 0.059021 0.106569 0.190534 0.332061 0.556816 0.934612
2025-02-09 0.025827 0.052187 0.098879 0.184930 0.335792 0.583992 1.015124
2025-02-16 0.022297 0.047465 0.094046 0.183352 0.345683 0.621507 1.115128
2025-02-23 0.018956 0.042487 0.087957 0.178563 0.349131 0.648115 1.198718
2025-03-02 0.016324 0.038444 0.082990 0.175067 0.354238 0.677615 1.289288
2025-03-09 0.014722 0.036346 0.081633 0.178536 0.373040 0.733792 1.433329
2025-03-16 0.012559 0.032614 0.076402 0.173586 0.375131 0.759760 1.525162
2025-03-23 0.011770 0.031906 0.077449 0.181685 0.403837 0.837980 1.720661
2025-03-30 0.010608 0.030079 0.075765 0.183720 0.420372 0.894270 1.879183
2025-04-06 0.009177 0.027291 0.071470 0.179413 0.423088 0.923553 1.987569
2025-04-13 0.008070 0.025125 0.068291 0.177168 0.429884 0.961445 2.115935
2025-04-20 0.007725 0.024976 0.069992 0.186532 0.463228 1.056602 2.367761
2025-04-27 0.007336 0.024631 0.071146 0.194702 0.494667 1.150257 2.623520
2025-05-04 0.006354 0.022330 0.066892 0.188970 0.493334 1.173716 2.733558
2025-05-11 0.005667 0.020784 0.064402 0.187352 0.501487 1.218383 2.892229
2025-05-18 0.004944 0.018959 0.060847 0.182462 0.501126 1.243958 3.011084